00:08 This is your monthly market update for
00:10 the cities of carefree and Cave Creek
00:13 for January 2nd 2020 all right so let’s
00:16 jump right into it our active listings
00:18 are down sixteen point nine percent over
00:22 we’ve only got 256 active listings
00:25 between both towns and so that’s
00:28 actually pretty low but our sold
00:30 listings are up thirty-three point three
00:31 percent over this time last year so
00:34 that’s a significant jump our economy
00:38 and our local housing market are doing
00:40 great and things are trending in favor
00:42 of our sellers our median square price
00:45 per square foot right now is down 1.5
00:49 percent over this time last year and
00:51 we’re at two hundred one dollars and 69
00:54 cents for those of you who and then our
00:59 months of supply is actually down thirty
01:03 seven point seven percent over this time
01:06 last year which is a huge jump from year
01:09 to year and so we’re sitting at a three
01:12 point zero five month’s supply which is
01:14 technically a seller’s market it’s not
01:16 as white-hot as some other parts of the
01:18 valley but it is definitely in the
01:20 seller’s favor if not just a little bit
01:23 and then our median days on market is
01:25 actually down twenty over twenty percent
01:29 twenty point three percent and we’re
01:33 currently sitting at 51 days so from the
01:36 day you list to the day you’re closed
01:37 you’re looking about 51 days on the
01:40 market said and done so eight weeks you
01:43 can’t be in a new home for those of you
01:46 who are buying that’s just kind of an
01:48 indication that if something comes on
01:49 the market that interests you you should
01:51 probably jump on it before somebody else
01:52 does and let’s get right back in to the
01:57 other side of things which is the
01:59 breakdown of month supply by price point
02:02 so overall like I said we have a three
02:05 point zero five month’s supply so pretty
02:08 healthy sell seller’s market there’s not
02:11 even enough data available for the zero
02:13 to a hundred thousand or one hundred
02:15 to $200,000 price range and that’s
02:17 because between the two towns there’s
02:19 only one active listing in that price
02:21 range in all of carefree and Cave Creek
02:23 so there’s not even enough data there
02:26 when we get to the 200 to $300 $300,000
02:31 price range we’re at three point six
02:32 seven months we’re trending towards that
02:34 four month mark which is where the
02:36 cutoff is for a seller’s market and the
02:40 300 to 500 thousand dollar price range
02:43 is really where it’s at right now we’re
02:46 at one point zero three months of supply
02:48 in the 300 to 500 thousand dollar price
02:52 range so if you have a home in that
02:54 price range you are in the best possible
02:56 market for these two towns then we have
03:00 the 500 to 700 thousand dollar price
03:03 range and that is 2.18 months of supply
03:08 this year and when we get to the 700
03:13 thousand to a million if there’s a big
03:16 disparity there for Cave Creek and
03:18 carefree and we’re standing at a seven
03:20 point one one month supply so we’re
03:23 actually trending towards a buyers
03:24 market in the 700 thousand to a million
03:27 dollar price point and then when you get
03:31 to the one to three million price point
03:35 for homes there you’re looking at a 12
03:37 month supply so a one-year supply which
03:40 if you compare it to last year our one
03:43 two three million dollar price range had
03:46 only a ten point three three month
03:48 supply so a lot of other homes in the
03:51 area that are priced at that level and
03:55 we have a lot of them up here there’s
03:57 actually more on the market this time
03:59 last year than last year so with that
04:03 said if you’re looking at selling a home
04:05 that’s still it’s still a pretty good
04:10 market if you’re looking to sell a
04:12 luxury property in Carefree or Cave
04:16 Creek it’s just something that in other
04:19 parts of the valley they went from
04:20 having a 68 months supply last year to
04:28 so there hasn’t been as huge a shift and
04:31 if anything that’s corrected a little
04:33 bit and if you watch my channel you’ve
04:35 been hearing you talk about a correction
04:36 my on non-professional opinion is that
04:43 actually in the middle of the correction
04:45 right now and we’re experiencing it most
04:47 people just don’t realize it yet so
04:49 that’s my opinion and my projection for
04:52 2020 is that we’re already in the
04:54 correction and we are going into this is
04:57 January statistically speaking in the
04:59 country more homes get listed in January
05:02 than any other month throughout the year
05:05 and we’re going into the spring selling
05:07 season so my guess for quarter one and
05:10 quarter two is that’s going to adjust
05:11 and more people are going to come on the
05:13 market but everybody who was holding off
05:14 during the holidays especially since we
05:17 had increased sales numbers and stock
05:20 market numbers through the end of
05:22 quarter four of 2019
05:24 my guess is that we’re gonna rally we’ve
05:27 already had our correction or word right
05:29 now in the middle of it that’s that’s my
05:31 guess if you guys have any questions or
05:33 had any thoughts of buying or selling in
05:35 the area please give me a call for eight
05:37 zero seven one seven nine two four zero
05:39 five or if you’re simply curious about
05:41 what is happening in your micro-climate
05:43 and your specific neighborhood I would
05:44 be happy to calculate the numbers for
05:47 my numbers for you zero seven one seven
05:49 nine five let’s have a great day and