00:00 Hey everybody it is Dusti Martin again
00:02 joining you for your monthly market
00:05 update we’ve got all kinds of crazy
00:06 stuff going on with covet 19 I’m gonna
00:09 give you a little update on what to
00:11 expect in the market right now
00:13 buckle up here we go
00:20 All right so let’s just get right into
00:24 it our active listings despite all the
00:26 craziness despite everybody being locked
00:29 up for half of the last month so two
00:31 almost three weeks in some cases already
00:35 here in in Arizona our active listings in Scottsdale
00:38 are down twenty nine point nine percent
00:40 over last year that’s you know still in
00:44 trend with what we’ve been seeing the
00:46 last I don’t know three to six months
00:48 with our inventory but our sold listings
00:50 are still actually up three point two
00:53 percent over last year so that means
00:55 that there’s still a strong demand
00:56 they’re still low supply and that’s
00:59 making sellers still even with all of
01:01 this going on and all this uncertainty
01:03 in the market it’s still a good time to
01:05 sell and historically our rates are
01:08 still kind of low for interest rates so
01:11 we’re doing good there a median square
01:14 our median sale price per square foot is
01:17 up eleven point eight percent it’s at
01:20 two hundred fifty six dollars and forty
01:22 four cents this year over last year
01:24 which was at two twenty nine and change
01:25 and then our month supply believe it or
01:28 not with all that’s going on the market
01:30 and everything that’s going on our month
01:34 supply is actually down thirty two point
01:36 one percent over this time last year and
01:39 we are sitting at a very very healthy
01:42 two point five months of supply in
01:45 Scottsdale Arizona so that’s well inside
01:47 a seller’s market and then minute here
01:50 we’re gonna break it down by price range
01:52 and then our median days on market is
01:54 also down twenty two point four percent
01:58 year-over-year we’re at 45 days last
02:01 year we were at fifty eight this time
02:03 last year so even with all the craziness
02:06 that’s been going on things are still
02:11 for right now okay in the housing market
02:15 so that’s that’s great for anybody who’s
02:17 looking to buy or to sell and I think
02:19 buyers if you’re listening I think one
02:22 of the things that I’m starting to see
02:24 is that sellers are more willing to deal
02:27 simply because they haven’t quite
02:29 realized that the numbers are still in
02:30 their favor so they think they could
02:34 probably go back on the market and still
02:35 sell but in many times they they’re
02:39 they’re not as sure of themselves as
02:41 they were before so a lot of times
02:42 they’ll just take the first best deal
02:44 and move on and be happy to keep that
02:46 customer satisfied so keep that in mind
02:50 before they find out let’s move into the
02:54 0 to 100 thousand dollar price range we
02:57 are at a 1.6 7 month supply so that is
03:01 still a white-hot seller’s market if
03:03 you’re in that price range the 100 to
03:05 200 thousand dollar price range we’re at
03:07 1.41 so still super strong seller’s
03:10 market they’re still have gentle upward
03:14 pressure on the prices and then we get
03:17 to the 200 to 300 thousand dollar price
03:19 range and we’re still under – we’re at
03:22 1.47 that’s only six weeks of inventory
03:25 so if everything stuck if nothing came
03:29 on the market from here on out if our
03:31 governor tomorrow said all right no more
03:33 real estate listings and they did that
03:36 for a while in California you’d actually
03:39 see that in six weeks we’d be out of
03:42 houses to sell so that’s still really
03:44 good for sellers in our area and then on
03:48 top of that the 300 to 500 thousand
03:51 dollar price range we are at one point
03:53 two eight months of supply so still
03:56 super hot seller’s market in that price
03:58 range the five to seven hundred thousand
04:01 dollar price range we’re two months of
04:03 supply 2.0 – still inside a seller’s
04:06 market at the 700 – a million mark here
04:10 at two point six four still in a
04:12 seller’s market and then here’s where
04:15 things get a little crazy if you’re in
04:18 the 1 to 3 million dollar price range
04:20 right now there is only a 5 point 2
04:23 one-month supply so it’s not a seller’s
04:26 market but it’s not a buyers market
04:28 either for the first time in a very long
04:31 here in Scottsdale and so if you have
04:34 one of those higher priced homes there
04:36 are still people out there selling now
04:38 here’s the one thing if you have a home
04:40 that’s valued over five hundred and ten
04:43 thousand dollars and change it’s called
04:46 a jumbo loan it’s like
04:47 mention alone is just big right and for
04:51 some lenders because there’s been a lack
04:53 of liquidity in the market and this
04:55 happened before the COVID stuff and all
04:57 the shutdowns really started happening
04:59 is when interest rates went super crazy
05:02 low it started a firestorm of refinances
05:06 which caused a bunch of margin calls on
05:08 all these lenders who had locked in at
05:11 certain super low rates under 3% in some
05:16 cases and then the bigger banks that the
05:18 smaller banks would normally sell those
05:20 loans to said give us our money we’re
05:23 not sure that this is sustainable pay us
05:26 pay us now and so all of these banks
05:28 were losing money because they had
05:30 locked into these clients at super low
05:33 rates but then could not sell them at
05:36 that rate so that kind of with that said
05:40 all those refinance is kind of clogged
05:42 up the system and then we had the co
05:44 good thing and so things are slowly
05:46 starting to stabilize and even out so
05:50 that’s something we need to watch but it
05:52 is making jumbo loans construction loans
05:55 the government loans like FHA and VA a
05:58 little harder so to keep that in mind
06:01 and it really I’m finding deals more
06:05 with what type of lender you have and
06:07 their size and the number of banks or
06:10 types of banks that they deal with so in
06:13 some cases the smaller lenders hometown
06:16 guys that we would love to deal with
06:17 more often than not a lot of times they
06:20 no longer have those products available
06:21 so you have to go to a bigger bank so
06:24 just keep that in mind it’s not that all
06:26 jumbo loans are done it’s not that all
06:28 construction loans are gone it’s just a
06:30 matter of who’s gonna loan on it so it’s
06:34 just finding the right banks so keep
06:35 that in mind the other thing is is our 3
06:38 million dollar price range or higher
06:41 that’s actually at 19 months supply so
06:45 last last year it was at nineteen point
06:47 eight eight this this time last year and
06:51 that basically means we lost a full
06:53 month’s worth of supply in that price
06:55 range so that’s still it’s still a very
06:58 strong buyers market you know that’s
07:01 a year and a half a little more than a
07:03 year and a half’s worth of supply to
07:05 sell a home of that that price range but
07:07 that in the long run in the grand scheme
07:11 of things that’s really not so bad when
07:13 you’ve got so many other things going on
07:16 and playing on the market and a lot of
07:18 fear to be honest right now so I have to
07:23 say I’m a little shocked I’m shocked
07:26 that things even with things being
07:30 pretty locked down I’ve seen a lot of
07:32 homes go temporarily off the market or
07:34 withdrawn or canceled and it’s
07:39 unprecedented to say the least but it’s
07:42 also not helping our inventory situation
07:44 so it’s continuing to suppress the
07:46 inventory and yet they’re still buyers
07:48 out there who still need to find a place
07:50 to live who still need to move who are
07:52 still coming here for a new job or lower
07:55 taxes or to retire or a lower cost of
07:58 living so so far all as well time will
08:03 I hope I’m giving an update like this in
08:07 April and one more month of this for us
08:10 here in Arizona that’s what our
08:12 governor’s projected so that’s when I
08:15 think we’re going to see the real
08:18 effects on if this is going to have an
08:21 immediate effect on a real estate market
08:23 but so far what’s going on in the stock
08:26 market isn’t too terribly bad affecting
08:29 our supply and demand and ability to do
08:31 business here so if you guys have any
08:34 questions let me know four eight zero
08:35 seven one seven nine four zero five look
08:38 forward to hearing from you soon if you
08:40 need any TP let me know have a great day