00:00 Hi everybody, this is Dusti Martin with Platinum
00:02 Living Realty. It is April 6th, 2020. This
00:06 is your Phoenix monthly real estate
00:15 so let’s just get right into it we’ve
00:19 been locked down for a couple weeks here
00:21 in Phoenix here in the valley and even
00:23 though real estate is is and was
00:26 considered an essential service pretty
00:28 early on we did see a huge slowdown in
00:31 traffic but the funny thing about that
00:36 is is that believe it or not our real
00:41 estate market really hasn’t been
00:42 affected all that much yet in terms of
00:45 price or supply or demand but it really
00:48 is only affecting how we’re doing
00:50 business so far so let’s get right into
00:52 it our active listings are down thirty
00:54 nine point four percent over last year
00:57 but our sole listings are also down but
01:00 only one point nine percent half of that
01:02 is because that there are less homes to
01:07 actually be sold up one of the
01:08 phenomenon phenomenons I’ve seen when
01:11 the stay at home suggestions and
01:15 executive orders came out from the
01:17 governor’s office was everybody was
01:19 rushing to hoard TP and then some people
01:23 that already had their home on the
01:25 market or were about to put their home
01:27 on the market said well wait up I don’t
01:29 want people in my house so they either
01:30 took their home off the market they
01:32 cancelled they expired or they went
01:34 temporarily off market or they didn’t
01:36 list at all and they’re waiting so
01:38 there’s like this shadow inventory
01:40 that’s out there the other thing is too
01:43 is a lot of buyers went straight from
01:45 the housing market and went to go hoard
01:47 some TP so some of my clients did that
01:50 other clients of mine went out went
01:53 house shopping those few days of rain
01:55 that we had while everybody was fighting
01:58 over toilet paper at Costco and they were
02:00 able to lock down a property that was
02:02 previously under contract and then the
02:05 buyer got scared and and backed out for
02:07 no reason no no inspections or anything
02:12 they just said oh the sky is falling and
02:14 ran without any statistical data to back
02:17 it up so in some cases buyers that are
02:20 still out there are still pounding the
02:22 pavement they’re serious they’re well
02:24 qualified their jobs are
02:26 in proof and they’re going to be a good
02:29 situation so that’s one of the things
02:31 I’m seeing so our active listings are
02:34 down almost 40 percent over last year
02:37 thirty nine point four which is
02:39 continuing to suppress that demand but
02:43 then there’s been a little like pause
02:45 with some buyers not all there is a lot
02:48 of genuine demand out there so it’s kind
02:51 of an apposite there but our median
02:52 price per square foot is actually up
02:54 12.1 percent so the median home in
02:57 Phoenix should be about a hundred and
02:59 eighty dollars per square foot or 180
03:01 point eight seven for those of you who
03:03 want to get technical
03:04 then our months of supply is still crazy
03:07 low one point three three months that is
03:09 well inside the seller’s market it’s
03:14 still technically kind of a white-hot
03:17 white-hot seller’s market and buyers are
03:21 still not going to at this point in time
03:24 as of this recording are still not going
03:27 to have their pick of a letter so keep
03:29 that in mind and then here’s the crazy
03:31 thing is our median days on market went
03:34 down thirty-four percent over last year
03:37 that is a crazy number so our median
03:40 days on market is 31 days that is
03:42 literally the length of a transaction or
03:45 the way transactions are going now
03:47 transactions right now are taking about
03:49 45 days because there was a backlog of a
03:52 bunch of refinances for those few days
03:55 that we had historical low interest
03:57 rates so with that in mind if we’re at
04:00 31 days that means people are wheeling
04:03 and dealing and making the most of the
04:07 current situation so keep that in mind
04:10 so let’s break it down by price point
04:12 now if you are in the zero to $100,000
04:16 price range you’re looking at two point
04:18 eight eight months of supply you’re
04:20 still inside the technical seller’s
04:23 market of four months or less and so you
04:25 can still have some gentle upward
04:27 pressure on the prices there in the 100
04:31 to 200 thousand dollar price range
04:33 you’re at one point one six months of
04:35 supply so meaning in about five weeks
04:39 if or less less than five weeks if
04:42 everything stopped coming on the market
04:45 today if no new homes came on the market
04:47 we’d be done in about four or five weeks
04:49 there’d be nothing left to sell then in
04:53 the 200 to 300 thousand dollar price
04:55 range this one is crazy hot it’s not
04:57 even a month it’s a 0.8 one month supply
05:01 so less than a month three weeks we’d be
05:03 done 300 to 500 is 1.2 months of supply
05:08 right now and then our 500 to 700
05:12 thousand dollar range which is
05:13 considered the high end not quite luxury
05:16 that price range is in the 2.18 months
05:20 of supply still well inside a seller’s
05:22 market the 700 to a million which is
05:25 firmly high-end it’s not middle to high
05:27 its high-end borderline luxury we’re at
05:33 three point six three months of supply
05:35 so just inside the sellers sellers
05:39 market cutoff point which is four months
05:41 so that has moved a little bit but it’s
05:44 still very good news the 1 1 million to
05:48 3 million dollar price range right now
05:50 is at four point eight eight months so
05:53 the luxury market is almost at a
05:56 seller’s a seller’s market for the first
05:59 time and I can’t remember when so four
06:02 point eight eight months it’s not
06:04 technically a seller’s market but it is
06:06 very very close so it’s technically an
06:09 even stable market but that is an
06:10 unheard of number for the one two three
06:12 million dollar mark and then our three
06:15 million dollar or over properties are at
06:17 eleven point three months of supply
06:20 which is just under a year technically
06:22 it’s a buyers market but that’s also
06:24 historically better than it has been in
06:27 a long time last year this time we
06:30 didn’t even have enough data for Phoenix
06:32 because there simply wasn’t any
06:34 transactions taking place for us to be
06:37 able to calculate it anyway if you guys
06:39 have any questions or if you want to
06:41 know what’s happening in your zip code
06:42 or in your neighborhood let me know my
06:44 numbers 4 8 zero seven one seven nine
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06:51 with a friend have a great day guys bye